Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini station, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow that limits afternoon heating. This positions the 14 °C outcome at 54 % market-implied probability, with the 15 °C bracket at 36 % reflecting modest uncertainty in the final observation. Mid-May climatology shows typical highs of 17–19 °C, yet recent post-frontal cooling has kept temperatures at or below the seasonal norm, consistent with model consensus. Traders are monitoring the next official update and any late-day cloud changes that could nudge the peak by 1 °C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 17 maggio?
14°C 66%
15°C 36%
16°C 2.1%
17°C <1%
$24,752 Vol.
$24,752 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
66%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 66%
15°C 36%
16°C 2.1%
17°C <1%
$24,752 Vol.
$24,752 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
66%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini station, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow that limits afternoon heating. This positions the 14 °C outcome at 54 % market-implied probability, with the 15 °C bracket at 36 % reflecting modest uncertainty in the final observation. Mid-May climatology shows typical highs of 17–19 °C, yet recent post-frontal cooling has kept temperatures at or below the seasonal norm, consistent with model consensus. Traders are monitoring the next official update and any late-day cloud changes that could nudge the peak by 1 °C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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