Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 17 maggio?
14°C 99.4%
15°C 1.5%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
17 mag 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
15°C 1.5%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$35,405 Vol.
$35,405 Vol.
17 mag 2026
9°C or below
$1,400 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,938 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,156 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,055 Vol.
99%
15°C
$3,357 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5,020 Vol.
1%
17°C
$3,869 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,008 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$35,405Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,405Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZCurrent forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service indicate a maximum temperature of 14 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17, anchoring the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4 % implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies have suppressed warming during the austral autumn, aligning closely with long-term May climatology of 13–15 °C. Ensemble model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon variability expected from localized urban effects. A late revision in observed readings or an unexpected warm advection could still shift the outcome toward 15 °C, though such adjustments appear improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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