Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration cluster Chengdu’s May 17 maximum in the 27–30 °C range, with the strongest convergence around 30 °C that underpins its 65 % implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed mixing that allows modest daytime heating above the seasonal 27–28 °C baseline. Low precipitation chances below 15 % and limited cloud cover further support peak readings near 30 °C, while any late adjustments in low-level moisture or steering flow could still shift the final observation into the 31 °C bin. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and mid-May climatology to assess these narrow temperature thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
30°C 69%
31°C 15.8%
32°C 11.7%
33°C or higher <1%
$42,491 Vol.
$42,491 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
75%
31°C
16%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 69%
31°C 15.8%
32°C 11.7%
33°C or higher <1%
$42,491 Vol.
$42,491 Vol.
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,952 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,229 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,769 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,038 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,447 Vol.
75%
31°C
$3,995 Vol.
16%
32°C
$3,097 Vol.
12%
33°C or higher
$3,074 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration cluster Chengdu’s May 17 maximum in the 27–30 °C range, with the strongest convergence around 30 °C that underpins its 65 % implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed mixing that allows modest daytime heating above the seasonal 27–28 °C baseline. Low precipitation chances below 15 % and limited cloud cover further support peak readings near 30 °C, while any late adjustments in low-level moisture or steering flow could still shift the final observation into the 31 °C bin. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and mid-May climatology to assess these narrow temperature thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$42,491Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration cluster Chengdu’s May 17 maximum in the 27–30 °C range, with the strongest convergence around 30 °C that underpins its 65 % implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed mixing that allows modest daytime heating above the seasonal 27–28 °C baseline. Low precipitation chances below 15 % and limited cloud cover further support peak readings near 30 °C, while any late adjustments in low-level moisture or steering flow could still shift the final observation into the 31 °C bin. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and mid-May climatology to assess these narrow temperature thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,491Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUCurrent forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration cluster Chengdu’s May 17 maximum in the 27–30 °C range, with the strongest convergence around 30 °C that underpins its 65 % implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and suppressed mixing that allows modest daytime heating above the seasonal 27–28 °C baseline. Low precipitation chances below 15 % and limited cloud cover further support peak readings near 30 °C, while any late adjustments in low-level moisture or steering flow could still shift the final observation into the 31 °C bin. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and mid-May climatology to assess these narrow temperature thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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