Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across Chongqing on May 17, suppressing solar heating and anchoring the official daily maximum near 23 °C at Jiangbei International Airport. This synoptic setup aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May under similar moisture advection, where reduced insolation typically caps highs 4–6 °C below clear-sky norms. Trader consensus has converged on the 23 °C outcome at over 99 % implied probability, reflecting high confidence in the current model guidance. A rapid clearance of stratiform clouds or a shift to stronger subsidence could allow brief afternoon warming toward 24–25 °C, though official observations through the evening will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 17 maggio?
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,419 Vol.
$46,419 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,419 Vol.
$46,419 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across Chongqing on May 17, suppressing solar heating and anchoring the official daily maximum near 23 °C at Jiangbei International Airport. This synoptic setup aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May under similar moisture advection, where reduced insolation typically caps highs 4–6 °C below clear-sky norms. Trader consensus has converged on the 23 °C outcome at over 99 % implied probability, reflecting high confidence in the current model guidance. A rapid clearance of stratiform clouds or a shift to stronger subsidence could allow brief afternoon warming toward 24–25 °C, though official observations through the evening will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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