Official NOAA and National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F in Denver on August 4, driving the market-implied probability to 100% for that range. Surface station data from Denver International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites, combined with consistent model reanalysis, confirmed the peak under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited afternoon heating. With the date now past, resolution hinges solely on verified instrumental readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing uncovers rare calibration issues. Historical August averages near 85°F underscore how cooler-than-normal conditions aligned with the observed outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Denver il 4 agosto?
74-75°F 100.0%
$49,775 Vol.
$49,775 Vol.
74-75°F
100%
74-75°F 100.0%
$49,775 Vol.
$49,775 Vol.
74-75°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NOAA and National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F in Denver on August 4, driving the market-implied probability to 100% for that range. Surface station data from Denver International Airport and surrounding mesonet sites, combined with consistent model reanalysis, confirmed the peak under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited afternoon heating. With the date now past, resolution hinges solely on verified instrumental readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing uncovers rare calibration issues. Historical August averages near 85°F underscore how cooler-than-normal conditions aligned with the observed outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti