Trader sentiment has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading confirming this precise value. Mid-May conditions typically feature highs between 24–28°C under the influence of transitioning monsoon flows and moderate humidity, with no anomalous heat advection or strong daytime insolation pushing temperatures higher. Official station data from urban and airport sites aligned closely on this outcome, reinforcing market-implied odds. A revised post-analysis adjustment or unreported micro-climate spike could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary observations are validated against multiple sensors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,747 Vol.
$302,747 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,747 Vol.
$302,747 Vol.
16 mag 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,333 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,633 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,260 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading confirming this precise value. Mid-May conditions typically feature highs between 24–28°C under the influence of transitioning monsoon flows and moderate humidity, with no anomalous heat advection or strong daytime insolation pushing temperatures higher. Official station data from urban and airport sites aligned closely on this outcome, reinforcing market-implied odds. A revised post-analysis adjustment or unreported micro-climate spike could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary observations are validated against multiple sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$302,747Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading confirming this precise value. Mid-May conditions typically feature highs between 24–28°C under the influence of transitioning monsoon flows and moderate humidity, with no anomalous heat advection or strong daytime insolation pushing temperatures higher. Official station data from urban and airport sites aligned closely on this outcome, reinforcing market-implied odds. A revised post-analysis adjustment or unreported micro-climate spike could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary observations are validated against multiple sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$302,747Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum reading confirming this precise value. Mid-May conditions typically feature highs between 24–28°C under the influence of transitioning monsoon flows and moderate humidity, with no anomalous heat advection or strong daytime insolation pushing temperatures higher. Official station data from urban and airport sites aligned closely on this outcome, reinforcing market-implied odds. A revised post-analysis adjustment or unreported micro-climate spike could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare once preliminary observations are validated against multiple sensors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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