Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving the market’s strongest implied probabilities toward 15 °C and its immediate neighbors. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is directing scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation and promoting turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Minor variations in shower timing, cloud cover, or wind direction within these models can readily alter the realized high by 1–2 °C, which explains the balanced weighting across the 14 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology for the region supports this range, while the next official guidance update will further narrow uncertainty ahead of final station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 maggio?
15°C 40%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
17°C 5.9%
NUOVO
$38,744 Vol.
NUOVO
$38,744 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
23%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 40%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
17°C 5.9%
NUOVO
$38,744 Vol.
NUOVO
$38,744 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C or below
$1,791 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,737 Vol.
1%
13°C
$4,163 Vol.
5%
14°C
$3,012 Vol.
22%
15°C
$3,723 Vol.
40%
16°C
$4,954 Vol.
23%
17°C
$3,804 Vol.
6%
18°C or higher
$5,625 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving the market’s strongest implied probabilities toward 15 °C and its immediate neighbors. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is directing scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation and promoting turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Minor variations in shower timing, cloud cover, or wind direction within these models can readily alter the realized high by 1–2 °C, which explains the balanced weighting across the 14 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology for the region supports this range, while the next official guidance update will further narrow uncertainty ahead of final station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$38,744Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving the market’s strongest implied probabilities toward 15 °C and its immediate neighbors. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is directing scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation and promoting turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Minor variations in shower timing, cloud cover, or wind direction within these models can readily alter the realized high by 1–2 °C, which explains the balanced weighting across the 14 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology for the region supports this range, while the next official guidance update will further narrow uncertainty ahead of final station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,744Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driving the market’s strongest implied probabilities toward 15 °C and its immediate neighbors. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is directing scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation and promoting turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Minor variations in shower timing, cloud cover, or wind direction within these models can readily alter the realized high by 1–2 °C, which explains the balanced weighting across the 14 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology for the region supports this range, while the next official guidance update will further narrow uncertainty ahead of final station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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