Recent forecasts from meteorological services project a daytime maximum near 28°C (83°F) in Moscow on August 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, positioning 27–28°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. This aligns with mid-summer climatology for the region, where highs typically range 22–24°C but can reach the upper 20s amid transient ridging or warm advection. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no significant cold front or cloud cover expected to suppress readings below 26°C or push them to 29°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical variability in peak daily temperatures recorded by local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 5 agosto?
27°C 60%
28°C 24%
26°C 14%
29°C 3%
$14,468 Vol.
$14,468 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
60%
28°C
24%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 24%
26°C 14%
29°C 3%
$14,468 Vol.
$14,468 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
60%
28°C
24%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services project a daytime maximum near 28°C (83°F) in Moscow on August 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk, positioning 27–28°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. This aligns with mid-summer climatology for the region, where highs typically range 22–24°C but can reach the upper 20s amid transient ridging or warm advection. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no significant cold front or cloud cover expected to suppress readings below 26°C or push them to 29°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates against historical variability in peak daily temperatures recorded by local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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