Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 17 maggio?
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 Vol.
$80,565 Vol.
17 mag 2026
79°F o inferiore
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o superiore
<1%
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 Vol.
$80,565 Vol.
17 mag 2026
79°F o inferiore
$11,591 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$12,019 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,300 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,874 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$8,188 Vol.
34%
88-89°F
$6,195 Vol.
49%
90-91°F
$8,492 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$6,477 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$4,868 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,235 Vol.
<1%
98°F o superiore
$3,168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$80,565Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,565Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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