Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily high of 27°C today under stable subtropical conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official station data and ensemble models show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 23°C, consistent with seasonal May averages for the region but not exceeding the threshold for 28°C or higher. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and historical precedent for similar spring days, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement variations or brief localized spikes. A sudden shift in coastal humidity or an unforecasted cold front could realistically push readings outside this narrow band before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 17 maggio?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
$49,448 Vol.
$49,448 Vol.
17 mag 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
21°C or below <1%
$49,448 Vol.
$49,448 Vol.
17 mag 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,788 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,875 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,998 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,854 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,469 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$11,147 Vol.
100%
28°C
$5,434 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,813 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily high of 27°C today under stable subtropical conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official station data and ensemble models show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 23°C, consistent with seasonal May averages for the region but not exceeding the threshold for 28°C or higher. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and historical precedent for similar spring days, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement variations or brief localized spikes. A sudden shift in coastal humidity or an unforecasted cold front could realistically push readings outside this narrow band before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$49,448Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily high of 27°C today under stable subtropical conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official station data and ensemble models show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 23°C, consistent with seasonal May averages for the region but not exceeding the threshold for 28°C or higher. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and historical precedent for similar spring days, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement variations or brief localized spikes. A sudden shift in coastal humidity or an unforecasted cold front could realistically push readings outside this narrow band before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,448Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZCurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily high of 27°C today under stable subtropical conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official station data and ensemble models show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 23°C, consistent with seasonal May averages for the region but not exceeding the threshold for 28°C or higher. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and historical precedent for similar spring days, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement variations or brief localized spikes. A sudden shift in coastal humidity or an unforecasted cold front could realistically push readings outside this narrow band before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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