Current forecast models and observational data for Tel Aviv on June 14 align closely with a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome ahead of 30°C at 21.5%. June climatology in this Mediterranean location features average highs of 28–30°C moderated by prevailing westerly sea breezes that limit heat buildup, with occasional Sharav easterly flows capable of pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show stable conditions without significant continental air advection or anomalous warming, keeping probabilities for extremes below 1% while assigning modest weight to 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring regional temperatures will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
29°C 69%
30°C 23%
28°C 10%
31°C 1.0%
$15,582 Vol.
$15,582 Vol.
14 giu 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
69%
30°C
23%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 69%
30°C 23%
28°C 10%
31°C 1.0%
$15,582 Vol.
$15,582 Vol.
14 giu 2026
27°C or below
$2,490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,719 Vol.
10%
29°C
$2,379 Vol.
69%
30°C
$1,346 Vol.
23%
31°C
$2,640 Vol.
1%
32°C
$981 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,632 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and observational data for Tel Aviv on June 14 align closely with a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome ahead of 30°C at 21.5%. June climatology in this Mediterranean location features average highs of 28–30°C moderated by prevailing westerly sea breezes that limit heat buildup, with occasional Sharav easterly flows capable of pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show stable conditions without significant continental air advection or anomalous warming, keeping probabilities for extremes below 1% while assigning modest weight to 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring regional temperatures will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$15,582Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and observational data for Tel Aviv on June 14 align closely with a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome ahead of 30°C at 21.5%. June climatology in this Mediterranean location features average highs of 28–30°C moderated by prevailing westerly sea breezes that limit heat buildup, with occasional Sharav easterly flows capable of pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show stable conditions without significant continental air advection or anomalous warming, keeping probabilities for extremes below 1% while assigning modest weight to 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring regional temperatures will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,582Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models and observational data for Tel Aviv on June 14 align closely with a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the 69.5% market-implied probability for that outcome ahead of 30°C at 21.5%. June climatology in this Mediterranean location features average highs of 28–30°C moderated by prevailing westerly sea breezes that limit heat buildup, with occasional Sharav easterly flows capable of pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show stable conditions without significant continental air advection or anomalous warming, keeping probabilities for extremes below 1% while assigning modest weight to 28°C. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring regional temperatures will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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