Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,089 Vol.
$71,089 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,089 Vol.
$71,089 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,332 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,317 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,087 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,955 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,861 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,892 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$14,293 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$71,089Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,089Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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