Building high-pressure ridging across the eastern Mediterranean is driving the current trader consensus, with 34°C holding a 43.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze influence through midday are allowing rapid surface heating over the coastal plain, pushing afternoon readings well above the May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent observations show a sharp shift from cooler 24–25°C highs on May 15–16, consistent with official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicating potential for 34–35°C peaks. Final intraday measurements from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine exact resolution, while any late-afternoon marine air advection remains the primary variable that could favor the 33°C or 35°C-or-higher brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
34°C 51%
35°C or higher 33%
33°C 15.1%
32°C 1.6%
$41,888 Vol.
$41,888 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
51%
35°C or higher
33%
34°C 51%
35°C or higher 33%
33°C 15.1%
32°C 1.6%
$41,888 Vol.
$41,888 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
$10,398 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,761 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,642 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,374 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,694 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,253 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,490 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,594 Vol.
2%
33°C
$3,019 Vol.
15%
34°C
$2,611 Vol.
51%
35°C or higher
$5,101 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Building high-pressure ridging across the eastern Mediterranean is driving the current trader consensus, with 34°C holding a 43.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze influence through midday are allowing rapid surface heating over the coastal plain, pushing afternoon readings well above the May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent observations show a sharp shift from cooler 24–25°C highs on May 15–16, consistent with official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicating potential for 34–35°C peaks. Final intraday measurements from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine exact resolution, while any late-afternoon marine air advection remains the primary variable that could favor the 33°C or 35°C-or-higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$41,888Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Building high-pressure ridging across the eastern Mediterranean is driving the current trader consensus, with 34°C holding a 43.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze influence through midday are allowing rapid surface heating over the coastal plain, pushing afternoon readings well above the May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent observations show a sharp shift from cooler 24–25°C highs on May 15–16, consistent with official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicating potential for 34–35°C peaks. Final intraday measurements from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine exact resolution, while any late-afternoon marine air advection remains the primary variable that could favor the 33°C or 35°C-or-higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,888Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETBuilding high-pressure ridging across the eastern Mediterranean is driving the current trader consensus, with 34°C holding a 43.5% implied probability as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze influence through midday are allowing rapid surface heating over the coastal plain, pushing afternoon readings well above the May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent observations show a sharp shift from cooler 24–25°C highs on May 15–16, consistent with official Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicating potential for 34–35°C peaks. Final intraday measurements from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine exact resolution, while any late-afternoon marine air advection remains the primary variable that could favor the 33°C or 35°C-or-higher brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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