Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 19 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 19 maggio?
28°C 31%
29°C 24%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
31%
29°C
24%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C o superiore
3%
28°C 31%
29°C 24%
27°C 12%
30°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
22°C o inferiore
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
31%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$3 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$174Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$174Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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