Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 17 maggio?
28°C 74%
29°C 26%
30°C 2.6%
31°C <1%
$45,994 Vol.
$45,994 Vol.
17 mag 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
68%
29°C
26%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 74%
29°C 26%
30°C 2.6%
31°C <1%
$45,994 Vol.
$45,994 Vol.
17 mag 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$14,131 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,892 Vol.
68%
29°C
$1,839 Vol.
26%
30°C
$2,440 Vol.
3%
31°C
$3,146 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,888 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$45,994Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,994Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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