Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou will see a daily maximum near 24–27°C on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, passing showers, and reduced solar radiation amid an active East Asian monsoon pattern. These conditions suppress temperatures below the city’s typical mid-August average of roughly 31°C by limiting surface heating and enhancing evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes aligns with the latest consensus runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover occur, while lower probabilities for 30°C or higher capture the limited upside risk under persistent overcast skies. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 13 agosto?
27°C 72%
30°C 2.4%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
72%
28°C
46%
29°C
42%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 72%
30°C 2.4%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
22°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,505 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,025 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$272 Vol.
72%
28°C
$411 Vol.
46%
29°C
$250 Vol.
42%
30°C
$519 Vol.
2%
31°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou will see a daily maximum near 24–27°C on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, passing showers, and reduced solar radiation amid an active East Asian monsoon pattern. These conditions suppress temperatures below the city’s typical mid-August average of roughly 31°C by limiting surface heating and enhancing evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes aligns with the latest consensus runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover occur, while lower probabilities for 30°C or higher capture the limited upside risk under persistent overcast skies. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,422Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou will see a daily maximum near 24–27°C on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, passing showers, and reduced solar radiation amid an active East Asian monsoon pattern. These conditions suppress temperatures below the city’s typical mid-August average of roughly 31°C by limiting surface heating and enhancing evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes aligns with the latest consensus runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover occur, while lower probabilities for 30°C or higher capture the limited upside risk under persistent overcast skies. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,422Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou will see a daily maximum near 24–27°C on August 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, passing showers, and reduced solar radiation amid an active East Asian monsoon pattern. These conditions suppress temperatures below the city’s typical mid-August average of roughly 31°C by limiting surface heating and enhancing evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 27–29°C outcomes aligns with the latest consensus runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud cover occur, while lower probabilities for 30°C or higher capture the limited upside risk under persistent overcast skies. Updated model guidance and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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