Elevated July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core at 3.3%, alongside sticky CPI prints near 3.4%, have reinforced trader focus on the three hawkish dissents from the July FOMC meeting. Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks on August 28 further lifted September rate-hike odds toward 50%, sustaining the closely matched probabilities for three or more dissents. Mixed signals from the weak July employment report and persistent energy-driven price pressures create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents will join Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan. The August CPI release on September 11 and any final Fedspeak before the September 15-16 meeting remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution of votes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di settembre?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 16%
0 16%
0
16%
1
16%
2
16%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 16%
0 16%
0
16%
1
16%
2
16%
3
29%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Elevated July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core at 3.3%, alongside sticky CPI prints near 3.4%, have reinforced trader focus on the three hawkish dissents from the July FOMC meeting. Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks on August 28 further lifted September rate-hike odds toward 50%, sustaining the closely matched probabilities for three or more dissents. Mixed signals from the weak July employment report and persistent energy-driven price pressures create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents will join Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan. The August CPI release on September 11 and any final Fedspeak before the September 15-16 meeting remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the distribution of votes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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