Israeli forces advanced north of Lebanon's Litani River during the 2026 Lebanon war and subsequent ceasefire violations, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle in May and issuing evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River. A U.S.-brokered April ceasefire and June framework agreement established pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawals in exchange for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah's removal from areas south of the Litani, though Israeli officials including Defense Minister Israel Katz have conditioned full pullbacks on verified security guarantees and clearance of remaining militant infrastructure. Recent diplomatic talks in Washington and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasize buffer zones persisting until threats subside, with partial withdrawals already underway in select sectors as of late June. Trader assessments hinge on compliance timelines, LAF operational capacity, and risks of renewed clashes before any firm withdrawal deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLe forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?
Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?
$1,151,678 Vol.
31 ago 2026
August 31
3%
December 31
12%
$1,151,678 Vol.
August 31
$97,257 Vol.
3%
December 31
$319,820 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced north of Lebanon's Litani River during the 2026 Lebanon war and subsequent ceasefire violations, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle in May and issuing evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River. A U.S.-brokered April ceasefire and June framework agreement established pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawals in exchange for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah's removal from areas south of the Litani, though Israeli officials including Defense Minister Israel Katz have conditioned full pullbacks on verified security guarantees and clearance of remaining militant infrastructure. Recent diplomatic talks in Washington and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasize buffer zones persisting until threats subside, with partial withdrawals already underway in select sectors as of late June. Trader assessments hinge on compliance timelines, LAF operational capacity, and risks of renewed clashes before any firm withdrawal deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,151,678Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced north of Lebanon's Litani River during the 2026 Lebanon war and subsequent ceasefire violations, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle in May and issuing evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River. A U.S.-brokered April ceasefire and June framework agreement established pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawals in exchange for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah's removal from areas south of the Litani, though Israeli officials including Defense Minister Israel Katz have conditioned full pullbacks on verified security guarantees and clearance of remaining militant infrastructure. Recent diplomatic talks in Washington and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasize buffer zones persisting until threats subside, with partial withdrawals already underway in select sectors as of late June. Trader assessments hinge on compliance timelines, LAF operational capacity, and risks of renewed clashes before any firm withdrawal deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,151,678Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces advanced north of Lebanon's Litani River during the 2026 Lebanon war and subsequent ceasefire violations, seizing positions including Beaufort Castle in May and issuing evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River. A U.S.-brokered April ceasefire and June framework agreement established pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawals in exchange for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah's removal from areas south of the Litani, though Israeli officials including Defense Minister Israel Katz have conditioned full pullbacks on verified security guarantees and clearance of remaining militant infrastructure. Recent diplomatic talks in Washington and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasize buffer zones persisting until threats subside, with partial withdrawals already underway in select sectors as of late June. Trader assessments hinge on compliance timelines, LAF operational capacity, and risks of renewed clashes before any firm withdrawal deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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