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icon for Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

40-45% 98.8%

45-50% 3.0%

35-40% 1.3%

50-55% 1.3%

Polymarket

$31,803 Vol.

40-45% 98.8%

45-50% 3.0%

35-40% 1.3%

50-55% 1.3%

Polymarket

$31,803 Vol.

<30%

$5,437 Vol.

1%

30-35%

$2,208 Vol.

1%

35-40%

$3,804 Vol.

1%

40-45%

$9,241 Vol.

99%

45-50%

$3,491 Vol.

3%

50-55%

$3,190 Vol.

1%

55%+

$4,432 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and advancing to the June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities on June 4, combined with Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results, locked in this outcome despite pre-election polling that had shown him leading. High first-round turnout near 58% and the concentration of votes between the two leading candidates further reinforced the certified tally. Trader consensus on the 40-45% band reflects these verified figures from the National Electoral Commission. Late recounts, successful legal challenges to ballot counts, or revised official totals remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the recorded share, though no such developments have materialized since certification.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$31,803
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and advancing to the June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities on June 4, combined with Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results, locked in this outcome despite pre-election polling that had shown him leading. High first-round turnout near 58% and the concentration of votes between the two leading candidates further reinforced the certified tally. Trader consensus on the 40-45% band reflects these verified figures from the National Electoral Commission. Late recounts, successful legal challenges to ballot counts, or revised official totals remain the primary scenarios that could still shift the recorded share, though no such developments have materialized since certification.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$31,803
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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"Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "40-45%" a 99%, seguito da "45-50%" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" ha generato $31.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 28, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" è "40-45%" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "45-50%" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.