Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to fewer than five X posts from Mojtaba Khamenei-linked accounts during September 8–15, reflecting the Supreme Leader’s established pattern of infrequent direct social media output since succeeding his father. Communications occur mainly through occasional written statements distributed via official channels such as Telegram or state media. Associated accounts have shown only sporadic activity in recent weeks, largely tied to commemorative content, with no evidence of sustained increases. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, policy milestones, or crisis events are currently scheduled in the narrow resolution window that would typically generate additional official statements. Recent posting rates align with this measured baseline absent specific triggers.