Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms during Mexico City's rainy season are the main drivers keeping overnight lows uncertain for August 24. At 2,240 m elevation, radiative cooling under clear skies can produce sharper drops, but high humidity, dew points near 12–13°C, and widespread cloud reduce that effect, typically anchoring minima near 12–15°C. Recent model runs show small differences in precipitation timing and wind that shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight spread across 9–14°C outcomes. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, with traders weighting the current pattern of mild, moist nights against the chance of clearer breaks that could allow brief further cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 24 agosto?
9°C o inferiore 69%
14°C 37%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
69%
10°C
12%
11°C
9%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
33%
15°C
20%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
11%
19°C o superiore
1%
9°C o inferiore 69%
14°C 37%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
$62 Vol.
69%
10°C
$55 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$10 Vol.
33%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$70 Vol.
1%
18°C
$135 Vol.
11%
19°C o superiore
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms during Mexico City's rainy season are the main drivers keeping overnight lows uncertain for August 24. At 2,240 m elevation, radiative cooling under clear skies can produce sharper drops, but high humidity, dew points near 12–13°C, and widespread cloud reduce that effect, typically anchoring minima near 12–15°C. Recent model runs show small differences in precipitation timing and wind that shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight spread across 9–14°C outcomes. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, with traders weighting the current pattern of mild, moist nights against the chance of clearer breaks that could allow brief further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$467Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms during Mexico City's rainy season are the main drivers keeping overnight lows uncertain for August 24. At 2,240 m elevation, radiative cooling under clear skies can produce sharper drops, but high humidity, dew points near 12–13°C, and widespread cloud reduce that effect, typically anchoring minima near 12–15°C. Recent model runs show small differences in precipitation timing and wind that shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight spread across 9–14°C outcomes. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, with traders weighting the current pattern of mild, moist nights against the chance of clearer breaks that could allow brief further cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$467Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms during Mexico City's rainy season are the main drivers keeping overnight lows uncertain for August 24. At 2,240 m elevation, radiative cooling under clear skies can produce sharper drops, but high humidity, dew points near 12–13°C, and widespread cloud reduce that effect, typically anchoring minima near 12–15°C. Recent model runs show small differences in precipitation timing and wind that shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight spread across 9–14°C outcomes. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, with traders weighting the current pattern of mild, moist nights against the chance of clearer breaks that could allow brief further cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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