Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with dew points near 25–26°C, southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Multiple models show nighttime temperatures holding in the 26–28°C range amid light rain chances under 50%, consistent with recent observations where minima have clustered around 27°C amid above-average August warmth. This setup favors the market-implied 50% probability on 27°C, with the secondary 39.5% on 28°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized urban heat effects; cooler outcomes below 26°C would require stronger clearing and drier air not currently indicated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 29 agosto?
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
22°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
3%
25°C
$75 Vol.
5%
26°C
$105 Vol.
8%
27°C
$304 Vol.
50%
28°C
$121 Vol.
40%
29°C
$67 Vol.
5%
30°C
$23 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with dew points near 25–26°C, southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Multiple models show nighttime temperatures holding in the 26–28°C range amid light rain chances under 50%, consistent with recent observations where minima have clustered around 27°C amid above-average August warmth. This setup favors the market-implied 50% probability on 27°C, with the secondary 39.5% on 28°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized urban heat effects; cooler outcomes below 26°C would require stronger clearing and drier air not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$891Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with dew points near 25–26°C, southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Multiple models show nighttime temperatures holding in the 26–28°C range amid light rain chances under 50%, consistent with recent observations where minima have clustered around 27°C amid above-average August warmth. This setup favors the market-implied 50% probability on 27°C, with the secondary 39.5% on 28°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized urban heat effects; cooler outcomes below 26°C would require stronger clearing and drier air not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$891Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 27°C in Shanghai on August 29, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with dew points near 25–26°C, southeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Multiple models show nighttime temperatures holding in the 26–28°C range amid light rain chances under 50%, consistent with recent observations where minima have clustered around 27°C amid above-average August warmth. This setup favors the market-implied 50% probability on 27°C, with the secondary 39.5% on 28°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized urban heat effects; cooler outcomes below 26°C would require stronger clearing and drier air not currently indicated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti