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Politica·Malta

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

icon for Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
Politica·Malta

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Labour Party 5-10% 40%

Labour Party 10-15% 33%

Other 9%

Labour Party 15-20% 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Labour Party 5-10% 40%

Labour Party 10-15% 33%

Other 9%

Labour Party 15-20% 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Labour Party 25%+

$99 Vol.

1%

Labour Party 20-25%

$211 Vol.

6%

Labour Party 15-20%

$50 Vol.

8%

Labour Party 10-15%

$107 Vol.

33%

Labour Party 5-10%

$207 Vol.

40%

Labour Party <5%

$60 Vol.

6%

Other

$60 Vol.

9%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Prime Minister Robert Abela called a snap general election on April 27 amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, setting the vote for May 30 under Malta's proportional representation system where vote margins dictate House of Representatives seats and majority government formation. Recent polls, including Sagalytics (April 30-May 6) showing Labour at 53.1% to Nationalists' 42.6% (10.5-point lead, ~29,000 votes) and a PolitPro average of Labour +8.8%, reflect consistent incumbent advantage, yet trader consensus prices all Labour margin outcomes equally amid the compressed five-week campaign. Dynamics keeping the race tight include undecided voter turnout, historical polling volatility, and Nationalist challenges to Labour's governance record; leader debates, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground districts could widen separation before polls close.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.

If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$794
Data di fine
30 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Prime Minister Robert Abela called a snap general election on April 27 amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, setting the vote for May 30 under Malta's proportional representation system where vote margins dictate House of Representatives seats and majority government formation. Recent polls, including Sagalytics (April 30-May 6) showing Labour at 53.1% to Nationalists' 42.6% (10.5-point lead, ~29,000 votes) and a PolitPro average of Labour +8.8%, reflect consistent incumbent advantage, yet trader consensus prices all Labour margin outcomes equally amid the compressed five-week campaign. Dynamics keeping the race tight include undecided voter turnout, historical polling volatility, and Nationalist challenges to Labour's governance record; leader debates, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground districts could widen separation before polls close.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.

If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$794
Data di fine
30 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).

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Domande frequenti

"Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Labour Party 5-10%" a 40%, seguito da "Labour Party 10-15%" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 12, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory" è "Labour Party 5-10%" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Labour Party 10-15%" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.