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Elezioni·Malta

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

icon for Malta Parliamentary Election Winner
Elezioni·Malta

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

Labour Party 91.9%

Nationalist Party 8.4%

Momentum <1%

Aħwa Maltin <1%

Polymarket

$59,421 Vol.

Labour Party 91.9%

Nationalist Party 8.4%

Momentum <1%

Aħwa Maltin <1%

Polymarket

$59,421 Vol.

icon for Labour Party

Labour Party

$27,304 Vol.

92%

icon for Nationalist Party

Nationalist Party

$26,869 Vol.

8%

icon for Momentum

Momentum

$1,287 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aħwa Maltin

Aħwa Maltin

$1,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for AD+PD

AD+PD

$1,703 Vol.

<1%

icon for Imperium Europa

Imperium Europa

$1,115 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Labour Party's commanding 91.8% implied probability on Polymarket reflects consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls, including Sagalytics' early May survey showing 53.1% support versus 42.6% for the Nationalist Party—a margin of around 29,000 votes under 81% turnout assumptions. Prime Minister Robert Abela called this snap general election for May 30 amid geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflicts driving energy costs, positioning Labour as the stability choice with fully costed promises on stipends, housing aid, and infrastructure. Under new leader Alex Borg, the opposition's "Nifs Ġdid" campaign has yet to gain traction despite pledges to cut bills and reform health services. With 17 days left, traders see slim upset chances barring scandals, corruption revelations, or unexpected turnout swings in the single transferable vote system.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.

This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$59,421
Data di fine
30 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Labour Party's commanding 91.8% implied probability on Polymarket reflects consistent double-digit leads in recent opinion polls, including Sagalytics' early May survey showing 53.1% support versus 42.6% for the Nationalist Party—a margin of around 29,000 votes under 81% turnout assumptions. Prime Minister Robert Abela called this snap general election for May 30 amid geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflicts driving energy costs, positioning Labour as the stability choice with fully costed promises on stipends, housing aid, and infrastructure. Under new leader Alex Borg, the opposition's "Nifs Ġdid" campaign has yet to gain traction despite pledges to cut bills and reform health services. With 17 days left, traders see slim upset chances barring scandals, corruption revelations, or unexpected turnout swings in the single transferable vote system.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.

This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$59,421
Data di fine
30 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of. This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).

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Domande frequenti

"Malta Parliamentary Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Labour Party" a 92%, seguito da "Nationalist Party" a 8%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 92¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 92% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Malta Parliamentary Election Winner" ha generato $59.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Malta Parliamentary Election Winner", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Malta Parliamentary Election Winner" è "Labour Party" a 92%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 92% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nationalist Party" a 8%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Malta Parliamentary Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.