Fuerza Popular (FP) secured a commanding plurality of 22 out of 60 Senate seats in Peru's April 12-13 general election, driving trader consensus to a 99.5% implied probability of victory as final results reached 99.94% of acts counted on May 12. Voter priorities amid surging crime—extortion up 1,000% and homicides 200% since 2019—and prolonged political instability since 2021 propelled FP's lead over Juntos por el Perú (14 seats) and Renovación Popular (8 seats), with other parties like Alianza para el Progreso and Perú Libre shut out. The National Jury of Elections rejected fraud claims and annulment bids from rivals like Rafael López Aliaga, solidifying certification. Only an extraordinary court reversal or recount anomaly could challenge this, though barriers remain high ahead of the June 7 presidential runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Perù
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Perù
FP 99.4%
APP <1%
AvP <1%
PL <1%
$94,769 Vol.
$94,769 Vol.
12 apr 2026
FP
99%
APP
<1%
AvP
<1%
PL
<1%
SP
<1%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
RP
<1%
JP
<1%
FP 99.4%
APP <1%
AvP <1%
PL <1%
$94,769 Vol.
$94,769 Vol.
12 apr 2026
FP
$33,402 Vol.
99%
APP
$5,189 Vol.
<1%
AvP
$5,363 Vol.
<1%
PL
$1,546 Vol.
<1%
SP
$2,361 Vol.
<1%
PP
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
AP
$2,688 Vol.
<1%
RP
$17,013 Vol.
<1%
JP
$24,954 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) secured a commanding plurality of 22 out of 60 Senate seats in Peru's April 12-13 general election, driving trader consensus to a 99.5% implied probability of victory as final results reached 99.94% of acts counted on May 12. Voter priorities amid surging crime—extortion up 1,000% and homicides 200% since 2019—and prolonged political instability since 2021 propelled FP's lead over Juntos por el Perú (14 seats) and Renovación Popular (8 seats), with other parties like Alianza para el Progreso and Perú Libre shut out. The National Jury of Elections rejected fraud claims and annulment bids from rivals like Rafael López Aliaga, solidifying certification. Only an extraordinary court reversal or recount anomaly could challenge this, though barriers remain high ahead of the June 7 presidential runoff.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$94,769Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) secured a commanding plurality of 22 out of 60 Senate seats in Peru's April 12-13 general election, driving trader consensus to a 99.5% implied probability of victory as final results reached 99.94% of acts counted on May 12. Voter priorities amid surging crime—extortion up 1,000% and homicides 200% since 2019—and prolonged political instability since 2021 propelled FP's lead over Juntos por el Perú (14 seats) and Renovación Popular (8 seats), with other parties like Alianza para el Progreso and Perú Libre shut out. The National Jury of Elections rejected fraud claims and annulment bids from rivals like Rafael López Aliaga, solidifying certification. Only an extraordinary court reversal or recount anomaly could challenge this, though barriers remain high ahead of the June 7 presidential runoff.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$94,769Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Fuerza Popular (FP) secured a commanding plurality of 22 out of 60 Senate seats in Peru's April 12-13 general election, driving trader consensus to a 99.5% implied probability of victory as final results reached 99.94% of acts counted on May 12. Voter priorities amid surging crime—extortion up 1,000% and homicides 200% since 2019—and prolonged political instability since 2021 propelled FP's lead over Juntos por el Perú (14 seats) and Renovación Popular (8 seats), with other parties like Alianza para el Progreso and Perú Libre shut out. The National Jury of Elections rejected fraud claims and annulment bids from rivals like Rafael López Aliaga, solidifying certification. Only an extraordinary court reversal or recount anomaly could challenge this, though barriers remain high ahead of the June 7 presidential runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti