United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive control of single-member districts, and access to administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, including the June 2026 party congress unveiling a list topped by figures such as Sergei Lavrov and the disqualification of Yabloko by the Supreme Court in August, reinforce the structural barriers facing other registered parties. The three-day voting format and limited space for non-systemic challengers further consolidate this position ahead of the 18–20 September contest. While a major shift in the Ukraine conflict or unforeseen elite realignment could alter dynamics, the combination of incumbency advantages and procedural controls makes significant deviation from the current outcome improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Unita (ER) 98.2%
Yabloko <1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,118 Vol.
$3,185,118 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 98.2%
Yabloko <1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,118 Vol.
$3,185,118 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$802,776 Vol.
98%
Yabloko
$32,428 Vol.
1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$205,934 Vol.
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$163,319 Vol.
1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$138,483 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$736,064 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive control of single-member districts, and access to administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, including the June 2026 party congress unveiling a list topped by figures such as Sergei Lavrov and the disqualification of Yabloko by the Supreme Court in August, reinforce the structural barriers facing other registered parties. The three-day voting format and limited space for non-systemic challengers further consolidate this position ahead of the 18–20 September contest. While a major shift in the Ukraine conflict or unforeseen elite realignment could alter dynamics, the combination of incumbency advantages and procedural controls makes significant deviation from the current outcome improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,185,118Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive control of single-member districts, and access to administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, including the June 2026 party congress unveiling a list topped by figures such as Sergei Lavrov and the disqualification of Yabloko by the Supreme Court in August, reinforce the structural barriers facing other registered parties. The three-day voting format and limited space for non-systemic challengers further consolidate this position ahead of the 18–20 September contest. While a major shift in the Ukraine conflict or unforeseen elite realignment could alter dynamics, the combination of incumbency advantages and procedural controls makes significant deviation from the current outcome improbable.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,185,118Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive control of single-member districts, and access to administrative resources that have delivered consistent majorities in prior cycles. Recent preparations, including the June 2026 party congress unveiling a list topped by figures such as Sergei Lavrov and the disqualification of Yabloko by the Supreme Court in August, reinforce the structural barriers facing other registered parties. The three-day voting format and limited space for non-systemic challengers further consolidate this position ahead of the 18–20 September contest. While a major shift in the Ukraine conflict or unforeseen elite realignment could alter dynamics, the combination of incumbency advantages and procedural controls makes significant deviation from the current outcome improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Il partito Russia Unita (ER) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
73%
Sì
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