Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff against Shelly deZevallos, scheduled for May 26, following his first-place finish with 48% in the March 3 primary amid an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trader consensus at 94.6% reflects Bonck's Trump endorsement, backing from Club for Growth—which released an internal May 7 poll showing him at 47% to deZevallos's 16% with 37% undecided—plus support from House GOP leadership and Rep. Morgan Luttrell. Elevated odds on others like Barrett McNabb signal minor write-in speculation, but Bonck's momentum in this GOP stronghold dominates. A late deZevallos surge, scandal, or turnout collapse could challenge, though barriers remain high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJon Bonck 94.5%
Barrett McNabb 10.3%
Shelly deZevallos 3.3%
Jennifer Sundt 1.1%
$38,820 Vol.
$38,820 Vol.
26 mag 2026
Jon Bonck
95%
Barrett McNabb
10%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Michael Pratt
<1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Larry Rubin
9%
Jon Bonck 94.5%
Barrett McNabb 10.3%
Shelly deZevallos 3.3%
Jennifer Sundt 1.1%
$38,820 Vol.
$38,820 Vol.
26 mag 2026
Jon Bonck
$18,035 Vol.
95%
Barrett McNabb
$1,683 Vol.
10%
Shelly deZevallos
$3,294 Vol.
3%
Jennifer Sundt
$2,471 Vol.
1%
Carmen Montiel
$1,578 Vol.
1%
Craig Goralski
$1,655 Vol.
1%
Michael Pratt
$2,835 Vol.
<1%
Jeff Yuna
$2,552 Vol.
<1%
Avery Ayers
$2,465 Vol.
<1%
Larry Rubin
$2,250 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff against Shelly deZevallos, scheduled for May 26, following his first-place finish with 48% in the March 3 primary amid an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trader consensus at 94.6% reflects Bonck's Trump endorsement, backing from Club for Growth—which released an internal May 7 poll showing him at 47% to deZevallos's 16% with 37% undecided—plus support from House GOP leadership and Rep. Morgan Luttrell. Elevated odds on others like Barrett McNabb signal minor write-in speculation, but Bonck's momentum in this GOP stronghold dominates. A late deZevallos surge, scandal, or turnout collapse could challenge, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$38,820Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff against Shelly deZevallos, scheduled for May 26, following his first-place finish with 48% in the March 3 primary amid an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trader consensus at 94.6% reflects Bonck's Trump endorsement, backing from Club for Growth—which released an internal May 7 poll showing him at 47% to deZevallos's 16% with 37% undecided—plus support from House GOP leadership and Rep. Morgan Luttrell. Elevated odds on others like Barrett McNabb signal minor write-in speculation, but Bonck's momentum in this GOP stronghold dominates. A late deZevallos surge, scandal, or turnout collapse could challenge, though barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,820Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff against Shelly deZevallos, scheduled for May 26, following his first-place finish with 48% in the March 3 primary amid an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trader consensus at 94.6% reflects Bonck's Trump endorsement, backing from Club for Growth—which released an internal May 7 poll showing him at 47% to deZevallos's 16% with 37% undecided—plus support from House GOP leadership and Rep. Morgan Luttrell. Elevated odds on others like Barrett McNabb signal minor write-in speculation, but Bonck's momentum in this GOP stronghold dominates. A late deZevallos surge, scandal, or turnout collapse could challenge, though barriers remain high.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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