Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94% trader consensus to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his overwhelming popularity after a 52-point landslide re-election in 2024 and strong incumbency advantages in the moderate Vermont GOP. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign in early April signals firm intent ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, bolstering confidence amid polls showing majority support for another term. Challenger John Rodgers, the Republican lieutenant governor, trails at 5% due to limited momentum despite his 2024 upset win. Scenarios to shift odds include Scott unexpectedly declining the race, a late-breaking scandal, or health issues, though historical patterns favor dominant incumbents like Scott in low-turnout primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
Phil Scott
94%
John Rodgers
4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
Phil Scott
$1,310 Vol.
94%
John Rodgers
$1,746 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94% trader consensus to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his overwhelming popularity after a 52-point landslide re-election in 2024 and strong incumbency advantages in the moderate Vermont GOP. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign in early April signals firm intent ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, bolstering confidence amid polls showing majority support for another term. Challenger John Rodgers, the Republican lieutenant governor, trails at 5% due to limited momentum despite his 2024 upset win. Scenarios to shift odds include Scott unexpectedly declining the race, a late-breaking scandal, or health issues, though historical patterns favor dominant incumbents like Scott in low-turnout primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$3,056Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94% trader consensus to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his overwhelming popularity after a 52-point landslide re-election in 2024 and strong incumbency advantages in the moderate Vermont GOP. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign in early April signals firm intent ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, bolstering confidence amid polls showing majority support for another term. Challenger John Rodgers, the Republican lieutenant governor, trails at 5% due to limited momentum despite his 2024 upset win. Scenarios to shift odds include Scott unexpectedly declining the race, a late-breaking scandal, or health issues, though historical patterns favor dominant incumbents like Scott in low-turnout primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,056Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94% trader consensus to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his overwhelming popularity after a 52-point landslide re-election in 2024 and strong incumbency advantages in the moderate Vermont GOP. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign in early April signals firm intent ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, bolstering confidence amid polls showing majority support for another term. Challenger John Rodgers, the Republican lieutenant governor, trails at 5% due to limited momentum despite his 2024 upset win. Scenarios to shift odds include Scott unexpectedly declining the race, a late-breaking scandal, or health issues, though historical patterns favor dominant incumbents like Scott in low-turnout primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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