Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,181M - $1,190M 64%
$1,172M - $1,181M 42%
$1,190M - $1,199M 2.5%
$1.199M - $1.208M 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2026
<1,172 milioni $
35%
$1,172M - $1,181M
43%
$1,181M - $1,190M
70%
$1,190M - $1,199M
2%
$1.199M - $1.208M
1%
$1.208M - $1.216M
<1%
>$1.216M
1%
$1,181M - $1,190M 64%
$1,172M - $1,181M 42%
$1,190M - $1,199M 2.5%
$1.199M - $1.208M 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2026
<1,172 milioni $
$279 Vol.
35%
$1,172M - $1,181M
$471 Vol.
43%
$1,181M - $1,190M
$681 Vol.
70%
$1,190M - $1,199M
$254 Vol.
2%
$1.199M - $1.208M
$169 Vol.
1%
$1.208M - $1.216M
$149 Vol.
<1%
>$1.216M
$149 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$2,151Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$2,151Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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