**Supply recovery following reduced Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) outbreaks has anchored trader sentiment around the $2.00–$2.25 range for June 2026 retail egg prices.** USDA data show retail prices fell to $2.25 per dozen in April 2026—down 39% year-over-year—with farm-level prices dropping sharply amid flock rebuilding and fewer detections than in early 2025. Projections indicate a 29.8% retail decline for the full year, supported by sufficient pullet availability and rising production (forecast near 1.94 billion dozen in Q2). Wholesale benchmarks near $0.24–$1.25 further reflect the supply glut, though seasonal demand and any late-quarter HPAI flare-ups could introduce volatility. Market-implied odds of 55.5% for the $2.00–$2.25 bucket align with these fundamentals and the normalization trajectory versus 2025 peaks above $6.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2,00–$2,25 56%
$1,75–$2,00 15%
$2,25–$2,50 10%
Meno di $1,50 5.1%
Meno di $1,50
5%
$1,50–$1,75
5%
$1,75–$2,00
15%
$2,00–$2,25
56%
$2,25–$2,50
10%
$2,50–$2,75
3%
$2,75–$3,00
5%
$3,00–$3,25
4%
$3,25–$3,50
2%
≥3,50 $
2%
$2,00–$2,25 56%
$1,75–$2,00 15%
$2,25–$2,50 10%
Meno di $1,50 5.1%
Meno di $1,50
5%
$1,50–$1,75
5%
$1,75–$2,00
15%
$2,00–$2,25
56%
$2,25–$2,50
10%
$2,50–$2,75
3%
$2,75–$3,00
5%
$3,00–$3,25
4%
$3,25–$3,50
2%
≥3,50 $
2%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The June release is presently scheduled for July 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The June release is presently scheduled for July 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Supply recovery following reduced Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) outbreaks has anchored trader sentiment around the $2.00–$2.25 range for June 2026 retail egg prices.** USDA data show retail prices fell to $2.25 per dozen in April 2026—down 39% year-over-year—with farm-level prices dropping sharply amid flock rebuilding and fewer detections than in early 2025. Projections indicate a 29.8% retail decline for the full year, supported by sufficient pullet availability and rising production (forecast near 1.94 billion dozen in Q2). Wholesale benchmarks near $0.24–$1.25 further reflect the supply glut, though seasonal demand and any late-quarter HPAI flare-ups could introduce volatility. Market-implied odds of 55.5% for the $2.00–$2.25 bucket align with these fundamentals and the normalization trajectory versus 2025 peaks above $6.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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