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Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?

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Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?

$865,702 Vol.

7 lug 2026
Polymarket

$865,702 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Witkoff

$63,574 Vol.

7%

Shehbaz Sharif

$61,067 Vol.

6%

Abbas Araghchi

$166,439 Vol.

5%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$2,949 Vol.

5%

Jared Kushner

$84,480 Vol.

5%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$3,065 Vol.

4%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$2,204 Vol.

4%

JD Vance

$244,176 Vol.

3%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$2,124 Vol.

2%

Re Abdullah II

$22,070 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$8,822 Vol.

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$3,482 Vol.

2%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$75,637 Vol.

2%

Pete Hegseth

$4,329 Vol.

2%

Sceicco Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$43,986 Vol.

1%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$1,540 Vol.

1%

Mohammed bin Salman

$4,748 Vol.

1%

Donald Trump

$55,674 Vol.

1%

Elon Musk

$2,030 Vol.

1%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$13,409 Vol.

<1%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$865,702
Data di fine
7 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. US and Iranian negotiators, with mediation from Pakistan and Qatar, finalized a memorandum of understanding to extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues. A formal signing ceremony is set for June 19 at Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort near Lucerne. US representation centers on Vice President JD Vance, while Iranian attendance by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi or Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could indicate varying levels of support from Tehran’s diplomatic and security establishments. President Trump has already signed a hard copy during recent European travel. The precise attendee list remains fluid and could shift with last-minute diplomatic or domestic considerations on either side.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$865,702
Data di fine
7 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Steve Witkoff" a 7%, seguito da "Shehbaz Sharif" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 7¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 7% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" ha generato $865.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 16, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" è "Steve Witkoff" a solo 7%, con "Shehbaz Sharif" vicino a 6%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.