Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated on May 14 that preparations for President Vladimir Putin’s visit to China are complete and the trip will occur very soon, aligning with reports pointing to a May 20 date immediately after the Trump-Xi summit. This timing fits within the May 31 resolution window and reflects the pattern of frequent high-level Russia-China meetings, including over forty prior encounters. Traders assign 98.2 percent probability to a yes outcome because official Russian confirmation and concrete scheduling reports have eliminated most uncertainty. Late developments that could still alter the result include an unforeseen health issue for either leader, an abrupt scheduling conflict, or a sudden diplomatic shift, though no such signals have emerged.