Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including allegations of undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system and corruption. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC positions in August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s ongoing military purge, which has already produced suspended death sentences for other senior officers such as former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu. At age 75, Zhang remains a Politburo member whose case has not advanced to formal charges or trial as of mid-September 2026. China’s military justice process for officials at this level typically involves lengthy internal reviews before any sentencing, making a prison term before 2027 appear remote to traders and supporting the strong consensus against that outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
11% probabilità
$168,055 Vol.
$168,055 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
11% probabilità
$168,055 Vol.
$168,055 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including allegations of undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system and corruption. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC positions in August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s ongoing military purge, which has already produced suspended death sentences for other senior officers such as former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu. At age 75, Zhang remains a Politburo member whose case has not advanced to formal charges or trial as of mid-September 2026. China’s military justice process for officials at this level typically involves lengthy internal reviews before any sentencing, making a prison term before 2027 appear remote to traders and supporting the strong consensus against that outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volume
$168,055Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including allegations of undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system and corruption. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC positions in August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s ongoing military purge, which has already produced suspended death sentences for other senior officers such as former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu. At age 75, Zhang remains a Politburo member whose case has not advanced to formal charges or trial as of mid-September 2026. China’s military justice process for officials at this level typically involves lengthy internal reviews before any sentencing, making a prison term before 2027 appear remote to traders and supporting the strong consensus against that outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,055Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia, the former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for serious violations of discipline and law, including allegations of undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system and corruption. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC positions in August 2026 amid Xi Jinping’s ongoing military purge, which has already produced suspended death sentences for other senior officers such as former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu. At age 75, Zhang remains a Politburo member whose case has not advanced to formal charges or trial as of mid-September 2026. China’s military justice process for officials at this level typically involves lengthy internal reviews before any sentencing, making a prison term before 2027 appear remote to traders and supporting the strong consensus against that outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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