The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Traders view the central bank’s data-dependent stance as favoring a continued wait-and-see approach while assessing higher oil prices’ impact on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior projections—and first-quarter GDP growth near 1.7% supported by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish signals from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on potential future rate hikes have not altered this consensus given stable financial conditions and balanced risks to growth and inflation. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 97.6%
引き上げ 2.2%
引き下げ <1%
$102,956 Vol.
$102,956 Vol.
引き下げ
<1%
据え置き
98%
引き上げ
2%
据え置き 97.6%
引き上げ 2.2%
引き下げ <1%
$102,956 Vol.
$102,956 Vol.
引き下げ
<1%
据え置き
98%
引き上げ
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April hold at 2.50% amid Middle East geopolitical uncertainties underpins the 97.7% market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Traders view the central bank’s data-dependent stance as favoring a continued wait-and-see approach while assessing higher oil prices’ impact on the April CPI reading of 2.6% year-over-year—above the 2% target yet aligned with prior projections—and first-quarter GDP growth near 1.7% supported by semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish signals from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on potential future rate hikes have not altered this consensus given stable financial conditions and balanced risks to growth and inflation. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly elevate the slim probabilities of a hike.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問