Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.4% 39%
2.3% 35%
2.5% 21%
2.7％ 5.7%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
2.0％以下
1%
2.1%
<1%
2.2%
5%
2.3%
35%
2.4%
39%
2.5%
21%
2.6％
4%
2.7％
6%
2.8%
3%
2.9%以上
1%
2.4% 39%
2.3% 35%
2.5% 21%
2.7％ 5.7%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
2.0％以下
$335 Vol.
1%
2.1%
$274 Vol.
<1%
2.2%
$375 Vol.
5%
2.3%
$373 Vol.
35%
2.4%
$2,125 Vol.
39%
2.5%
$231 Vol.
21%
2.6％
$878 Vol.
4%
2.7％
$753 Vol.
6%
2.8%
$881 Vol.
3%
2.9%以上
$421 Vol.
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
音量
$6,647終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$6,647終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 core CPI data at 2.5% year-over-year, down from 2.6% in June, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading amid continued moderation in shelter costs and services prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 2.38% for August, aligning with consensus expectations of further easing toward the 2.3-2.4% range as energy effects fade and goods prices remain soft. The closely matched 38.5% and 35% probabilities on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes reflect uncertainty over whether the monthly pace will sustain the recent 0.2% trend or dip lower, with upcoming labor-market and retail-sales releases serving as key signals ahead of the September 11 print. Federal Reserve communications at the 3.50%-3.75% funds rate underscore the data's role in shaping rate expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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