Recent weakness in eurozone activity, marked by Q1 2026 GDP growth of just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-over-year, combined with April 2026 inflation surging to 3% on energy-price spikes from Middle East tensions, has kept market-implied odds for Q2 2026 GDP growth tightly clustered near 45-48% across several ranges. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts around 1.0% highlight ongoing pressure from higher input costs and softer business sentiment, while the 6.2% unemployment rate offers limited offset. Traders assess whether easing geopolitical risks could support a rebound toward 1.6-1.9% or sustain stagnation near 0.0-0.3%, with the July 30 flash estimate serving as the key catalyst for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.0-0.3% 46%
<0.0% 45%
0.8-1.1% 44%
1.2-1.5% 44%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
<0.0%
45%
0.0-0.3%
46%
0.4-0.7%
26%
0.8-1.1%
44%
1.2-1.5%
44%
1.6-1.9%
49%
2.0%+
44%
0.0-0.3% 46%
<0.0% 45%
0.8-1.1% 44%
1.2-1.5% 44%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
<0.0%
$0 Vol.
45%
0.0-0.3%
$0 Vol.
46%
0.4-0.7%
$0 Vol.
26%
0.8-1.1%
$0 Vol.
44%
1.2-1.5%
$0 Vol.
44%
1.6-1.9%
$20 Vol.
49%
2.0%+
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weakness in eurozone activity, marked by Q1 2026 GDP growth of just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-over-year, combined with April 2026 inflation surging to 3% on energy-price spikes from Middle East tensions, has kept market-implied odds for Q2 2026 GDP growth tightly clustered near 45-48% across several ranges. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts around 1.0% highlight ongoing pressure from higher input costs and softer business sentiment, while the 6.2% unemployment rate offers limited offset. Traders assess whether easing geopolitical risks could support a rebound toward 1.6-1.9% or sustain stagnation near 0.0-0.3%, with the July 30 flash estimate serving as the key catalyst for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weakness in eurozone activity, marked by Q1 2026 GDP growth of just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-over-year, combined with April 2026 inflation surging to 3% on energy-price spikes from Middle East tensions, has kept market-implied odds for Q2 2026 GDP growth tightly clustered near 45-48% across several ranges. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts around 1.0% highlight ongoing pressure from higher input costs and softer business sentiment, while the 6.2% unemployment rate offers limited offset. Traders assess whether easing geopolitical risks could support a rebound toward 1.6-1.9% or sustain stagnation near 0.0-0.3%, with the July 30 flash estimate serving as the key catalyst for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$20終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakness in eurozone activity, marked by Q1 2026 GDP growth of just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-over-year, combined with April 2026 inflation surging to 3% on energy-price spikes from Middle East tensions, has kept market-implied odds for Q2 2026 GDP growth tightly clustered near 45-48% across several ranges. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts around 1.0% highlight ongoing pressure from higher input costs and softer business sentiment, while the 6.2% unemployment rate offers limited offset. Traders assess whether easing geopolitical risks could support a rebound toward 1.6-1.9% or sustain stagnation near 0.0-0.3%, with the July 30 flash estimate serving as the key catalyst for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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