Traders assign a 95.8% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled reprivatization efforts under the Trump administration. Recent FHFA commentary from Director Bill Pulte underscores that any decision remains solely at the president’s discretion, yet no lead underwriters have been appointed and capital-building initiatives continue without a firm exit timeline from conservatorship. Analysts have cited the administration’s focus on mortgage-bond purchases to ease affordability as a key factor diverting momentum away from an IPO, consistent with January 2026 reports of the process remaining in flux. A realistic challenge would require swift White House action to appoint banks and accelerate regulatory approvals before the June deadline, an outcome markets currently price as low-probability given the absence of fresh political signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 95.8%
1,500〜2,000億ドル 1.6%
3,000億ドル以上 <1%
1,500億ドル未満 <1%
$200,840 Vol.
$200,840 Vol.
2026/06/30
1,500億ドル未満
<1%
1,500〜2,000億ドル
2%
2,000億～2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500〜3,000億ドル
<1%
3,000億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
96%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 95.8%
1,500〜2,000億ドル 1.6%
3,000億ドル以上 <1%
1,500億ドル未満 <1%
$200,840 Vol.
$200,840 Vol.
2026/06/30
1,500億ドル未満
$81,902 Vol.
<1%
1,500〜2,000億ドル
$32,469 Vol.
2%
2,000億～2,500億ドル
$20,034 Vol.
<1%
2,500〜3,000億ドル
$6,727 Vol.
<1%
3,000億ドル以上
$12,169 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$47,538 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 95.8% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled reprivatization efforts under the Trump administration. Recent FHFA commentary from Director Bill Pulte underscores that any decision remains solely at the president’s discretion, yet no lead underwriters have been appointed and capital-building initiatives continue without a firm exit timeline from conservatorship. Analysts have cited the administration’s focus on mortgage-bond purchases to ease affordability as a key factor diverting momentum away from an IPO, consistent with January 2026 reports of the process remaining in flux. A realistic challenge would require swift White House action to appoint banks and accelerate regulatory approvals before the June deadline, an outcome markets currently price as low-probability given the absence of fresh political signals.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$200,840終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 95.8% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled reprivatization efforts under the Trump administration. Recent FHFA commentary from Director Bill Pulte underscores that any decision remains solely at the president’s discretion, yet no lead underwriters have been appointed and capital-building initiatives continue without a firm exit timeline from conservatorship. Analysts have cited the administration’s focus on mortgage-bond purchases to ease affordability as a key factor diverting momentum away from an IPO, consistent with January 2026 reports of the process remaining in flux. A realistic challenge would require swift White House action to appoint banks and accelerate regulatory approvals before the June deadline, an outcome markets currently price as low-probability given the absence of fresh political signals.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$200,840終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 95.8% implied probability to no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled reprivatization efforts under the Trump administration. Recent FHFA commentary from Director Bill Pulte underscores that any decision remains solely at the president’s discretion, yet no lead underwriters have been appointed and capital-building initiatives continue without a firm exit timeline from conservatorship. Analysts have cited the administration’s focus on mortgage-bond purchases to ease affordability as a key factor diverting momentum away from an IPO, consistent with January 2026 reports of the process remaining in flux. A realistic challenge would require swift White House action to appoint banks and accelerate regulatory approvals before the June deadline, an outcome markets currently price as low-probability given the absence of fresh political signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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