The market-implied odds of 96.9% against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of legislative momentum or regulatory approvals needed to exit conservatorship and execute a privatization transaction. Freddie Mac remains under Federal Housing Finance Agency oversight following the 2008 financial crisis, and any IPO would require congressional action to reform the housing finance system, clear Treasury warrants, and establish a viable capital structure—none of which have advanced in recent sessions. With the resolution date only weeks away, traders assign minimal weight to last-minute breakthroughs. A sudden bipartisan housing bill or accelerated FHFA rulemaking could still alter the outcome, though both face significant procedural and political barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.9%
1,500〜2,000億ドル 1.4%
3,000億ドル以上 1.1%
1,500億ドル未満 <1%
$201,262 Vol.
$201,262 Vol.
2026/06/30
1,500億ドル未満
<1%
1,500〜2,000億ドル
1%
2,000億～2,500億ドル
<1%
2,500〜3,000億ドル
<1%
3,000億ドル以上
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
97%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.9%
1,500〜2,000億ドル 1.4%
3,000億ドル以上 1.1%
1,500億ドル未満 <1%
$201,262 Vol.
$201,262 Vol.
2026/06/30
1,500億ドル未満
$81,902 Vol.
<1%
1,500〜2,000億ドル
$32,469 Vol.
1%
2,000億～2,500億ドル
$20,034 Vol.
<1%
2,500〜3,000億ドル
$6,727 Vol.
<1%
3,000億ドル以上
$12,169 Vol.
1%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$47,961 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market-implied odds of 96.9% against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of legislative momentum or regulatory approvals needed to exit conservatorship and execute a privatization transaction. Freddie Mac remains under Federal Housing Finance Agency oversight following the 2008 financial crisis, and any IPO would require congressional action to reform the housing finance system, clear Treasury warrants, and establish a viable capital structure—none of which have advanced in recent sessions. With the resolution date only weeks away, traders assign minimal weight to last-minute breakthroughs. A sudden bipartisan housing bill or accelerated FHFA rulemaking could still alter the outcome, though both face significant procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$201,262終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market-implied odds of 96.9% against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of legislative momentum or regulatory approvals needed to exit conservatorship and execute a privatization transaction. Freddie Mac remains under Federal Housing Finance Agency oversight following the 2008 financial crisis, and any IPO would require congressional action to reform the housing finance system, clear Treasury warrants, and establish a viable capital structure—none of which have advanced in recent sessions. With the resolution date only weeks away, traders assign minimal weight to last-minute breakthroughs. A sudden bipartisan housing bill or accelerated FHFA rulemaking could still alter the outcome, though both face significant procedural and political barriers.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$201,262終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market-implied odds of 96.9% against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflect the absence of legislative momentum or regulatory approvals needed to exit conservatorship and execute a privatization transaction. Freddie Mac remains under Federal Housing Finance Agency oversight following the 2008 financial crisis, and any IPO would require congressional action to reform the housing finance system, clear Treasury warrants, and establish a viable capital structure—none of which have advanced in recent sessions. With the resolution date only weeks away, traders assign minimal weight to last-minute breakthroughs. A sudden bipartisan housing bill or accelerated FHFA rulemaking could still alter the outcome, though both face significant procedural and political barriers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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