Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on June 13 most likely between 27–29°C due to persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity near 70–80%, and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 27°C (30%) and 28°C (31%), where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation forecasts. June climatology shows typical highs of 28–32°C, but current steering patterns and possible early-season rainfall are suppressing stronger warming. Updated model runs and official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 13?
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
29°C 21%
26°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
31%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
29°C 21%
26°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
31%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on June 13 most likely between 27–29°C due to persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity near 70–80%, and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 27°C (30%) and 28°C (31%), where traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation forecasts. June climatology shows typical highs of 28–32°C, but current steering patterns and possible early-season rainfall are suppressing stronger warming. Updated model runs and official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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