Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project a high near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 15, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and southerly winds under late-summer conditions where daily averages decline from 96°F early in the month. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins, reflecting limited intensification potential and historical rarity of exceeding 102°F after mid-August. Minor model spread around peak timing and urban heat effects keeps probabilities fluid ahead of final observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のダラスの最高気温は?
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 9%
104-105°F 3%
$13,377 Vol.
$13,377 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 9%
104-105°F 3%
$13,377 Vol.
$13,377 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project a high near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 15, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and southerly winds under late-summer conditions where daily averages decline from 96°F early in the month. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 100–101°F and 98–99°F bins, reflecting limited intensification potential and historical rarity of exceeding 102°F after mid-August. Minor model spread around peak timing and urban heat effects keeps probabilities fluid ahead of final observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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