**Strong model consensus from meteorological agencies projects a daytime high near 33°C in Jinan on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, producing the 98% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher.** Recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts show persistent warm advection with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the peak heating hours, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. Traders appear to weight the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance heavily, as deviations would require rapid changes in steering patterns or unexpected moisture intrusion. Resolution hinges on the official maximum reported by local stations; any significant afternoon cooling from increased cloudiness or a frontal boundary could theoretically pull readings below the threshold, though current data indicate low likelihood.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の済南の最高気温は?
26℃以上 98%
19℃ 4%
20℃ 4%
21℃ 4%
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
4%
22℃
4%
23℃
3%
24℃
1%
25℃
1%
26℃以上
98%
26℃以上 98%
19℃ 4%
20℃ 4%
21℃ 4%
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
4%
22℃
4%
23℃
3%
24℃
1%
25℃
1%
26℃以上
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Strong model consensus from meteorological agencies projects a daytime high near 33°C in Jinan on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, producing the 98% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher.** Recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts show persistent warm advection with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the peak heating hours, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region. Traders appear to weight the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance heavily, as deviations would require rapid changes in steering patterns or unexpected moisture intrusion. Resolution hinges on the official maximum reported by local stations; any significant afternoon cooling from increased cloudiness or a frontal boundary could theoretically pull readings below the threshold, though current data indicate low likelihood.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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