The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Karachi on June 13?
36°C 37%
35°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
30%
36°C
37%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 30%
34°C 16%
37°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
30%
36°C
37%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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