India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 15 under clear skies, driving the market-implied 99.2% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus aligns with this official guidance. Yesterday's actual high was 37.3°C, 2.5°C below normal, amid a broader May trend of cooler-than-average conditions influenced by above-normal rainfall earlier in the month per IMD outlooks. Current morning observations at Lucknow Airport show 31.2°C with moderate humidity, supporting model projections of peak heating around 39°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies and calm winds boosting afternoon solar insolation beyond forecasts, though historical May averages near 40°C and consistent negative departures reinforce the strong positioning. Final IMD bulletin expected post-1730 IST will confirm the official high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 98.8%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
45°C <1%
$30,956 Vol.
$30,956 Vol.
41°C or below
99%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 98.8%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
45°C <1%
$30,956 Vol.
$30,956 Vol.
41°C or below
99%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 15 under clear skies, driving the market-implied 99.2% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus aligns with this official guidance. Yesterday's actual high was 37.3°C, 2.5°C below normal, amid a broader May trend of cooler-than-average conditions influenced by above-normal rainfall earlier in the month per IMD outlooks. Current morning observations at Lucknow Airport show 31.2°C with moderate humidity, supporting model projections of peak heating around 39°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies and calm winds boosting afternoon solar insolation beyond forecasts, though historical May averages near 40°C and consistent negative departures reinforce the strong positioning. Final IMD bulletin expected post-1730 IST will confirm the official high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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