India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,820 Vol.
$38,820 Vol.
2026/05/15
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,820 Vol.
$38,820 Vol.
2026/05/15
41°C or below
$6,238 Vol.
Yes
42°C
$8,395 Vol.
No
43°C
$6,794 Vol.
No
44°C
$3,636 Vol.
No
45°C
$3,396 Vol.
No
46°C
$3,172 Vol.
No
47°C
$2,641 Vol.
No
48°C
$2,233 Vol.
No
49°C
$654 Vol.
No
50°C
$779 Vol.
No
51°C or higher
$882 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$38,820終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$38,820終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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