The India Meteorological Department’s current forecast for Lucknow projects a daily maximum of 40–41°C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with clear skies and light westerly winds limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological May averages of 38–42°C while reflecting recent observational trends showing no significant heat-wave intensification. Trader consensus heavily favors the 41°C-or-below outcome because official model runs and surface observations indicate the threshold will hold, though small revisions in afternoon heating or local wind shifts could still push readings to 42°C. Resolution hinges on the final IMD-verified high, with updated guidance expected later today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のラクナウの最高気温は?
41°C or below 99.9%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$42,826 Vol.
$42,826 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.9%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$42,826 Vol.
$42,826 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The India Meteorological Department’s current forecast for Lucknow projects a daily maximum of 40–41°C on May 17 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with clear skies and light westerly winds limiting further warming. This aligns with climatological May averages of 38–42°C while reflecting recent observational trends showing no significant heat-wave intensification. Trader consensus heavily favors the 41°C-or-below outcome because official model runs and surface observations indicate the threshold will hold, though small revisions in afternoon heating or local wind shifts could still push readings to 42°C. Resolution hinges on the final IMD-verified high, with updated guidance expected later today.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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