PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C with only a 10% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies as the southwest monsoon begins. This aligns with climatological averages for early June, when highs typically reach 31–33°C amid rising humidity and increasing cloud cover that curbs extreme heating. Recent model consensus and historical observations from NAIA show limited potential for 34°C or higher without clear, stable conditions, which current patterns do not support. Trader positioning at 88.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects these stable atmospheric factors, with minimal odds on outliers given the narrow forecast range and typical monsoon moderation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 98.5%
34°C 7%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$23,062 Vol.
$23,062 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 98.5%
34°C 7%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$23,062 Vol.
$23,062 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C with only a 10% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies as the southwest monsoon begins. This aligns with climatological averages for early June, when highs typically reach 31–33°C amid rising humidity and increasing cloud cover that curbs extreme heating. Recent model consensus and historical observations from NAIA show limited potential for 34°C or higher without clear, stable conditions, which current patterns do not support. Trader positioning at 88.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects these stable atmospheric factors, with minimal odds on outliers given the narrow forecast range and typical monsoon moderation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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