**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日のマニラの最高気温は?
33°C 34%
34℃ 30%
32°C 27%
35℃ 11%
27°C以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
34%
34℃
30%
35℃
11%
36°C
4%
37℃以上
1%
33°C 34%
34℃ 30%
32°C 27%
35℃ 11%
27°C以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
34%
34℃
30%
35℃
11%
36°C
4%
37℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問