National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site, under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Minor spreads among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM solutions arise from subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of maximum insolation, keeping the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins closely matched at roughly 31–37% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical late-spring warming patterns without significant cloud cover or frontal interference, though final observed highs could shift slightly depending on the precise hour of peak radiation and local wind mixing.