Recent forecasts from Météo-France highlight a mostly cloudy, stable air mass over Paris that is suppressing daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 16°C. This cooler pattern stems from northerly flow and lingering moisture, keeping afternoon readings several degrees below the May climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. With light winds and limited solar insolation expected through sunset, models show little chance of the 17–18°C thresholds that would alter the current outcome distribution. Official temperature reports issued at the close of the day will confirm the exact peak and resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のパリの最高気温は?
16°C 62%
15°C 29%
17°C 9%
14°C 2.1%
$68,182 Vol.
$68,182 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
29%
16°C
62%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
15°C 29%
17°C 9%
14°C 2.1%
$68,182 Vol.
$68,182 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
29%
16°C
62%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France highlight a mostly cloudy, stable air mass over Paris that is suppressing daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 16°C. This cooler pattern stems from northerly flow and lingering moisture, keeping afternoon readings several degrees below the May climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. With light winds and limited solar insolation expected through sunset, models show little chance of the 17–18°C thresholds that would alter the current outcome distribution. Official temperature reports issued at the close of the day will confirm the exact peak and resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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