Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 maximum in Paris between 15 °C and 17 °C, with the tightest consensus centering on 15–16 °C. This narrow spread explains why traders have assigned nearly equal implied probabilities to those two outcomes while discounting both cooler and warmer scenarios. Light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, while any earlier-than-forecast clearance could allow a brief push toward 17 °C. Historical May averages near 18 °C provide little additional guidance at this short range, leaving resolution dependent on the final 48-hour model runs and observed conditions at Paris-Le Bourget.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月18日のパリの最高気温は？
5月18日のパリの最高気温は？
15°C 34%
16°C 34%
17°C 18%
14°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
18%
15°C
34%
16°C
34%
17°C
17%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
3%
15°C 34%
16°C 34%
17°C 18%
14°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/05/18
9°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$81 Vol.
1%
11°C
$110 Vol.
1%
12°C
$542 Vol.
2%
13°C
$32 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$68 Vol.
34%
16°C
$24 Vol.
34%
17°C
$21 Vol.
17%
18°C
$33 Vol.
6%
19°C or higher
$79 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 maximum in Paris between 15 °C and 17 °C, with the tightest consensus centering on 15–16 °C. This narrow spread explains why traders have assigned nearly equal implied probabilities to those two outcomes while discounting both cooler and warmer scenarios. Light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, while any earlier-than-forecast clearance could allow a brief push toward 17 °C. Historical May averages near 18 °C provide little additional guidance at this short range, leaving resolution dependent on the final 48-hour model runs and observed conditions at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$1,090終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 maximum in Paris between 15 °C and 17 °C, with the tightest consensus centering on 15–16 °C. This narrow spread explains why traders have assigned nearly equal implied probabilities to those two outcomes while discounting both cooler and warmer scenarios. Light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, while any earlier-than-forecast clearance could allow a brief push toward 17 °C. Historical May averages near 18 °C provide little additional guidance at this short range, leaving resolution dependent on the final 48-hour model runs and observed conditions at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,090終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 maximum in Paris between 15 °C and 17 °C, with the tightest consensus centering on 15–16 °C. This narrow spread explains why traders have assigned nearly equal implied probabilities to those two outcomes while discounting both cooler and warmer scenarios. Light southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, while any earlier-than-forecast clearance could allow a brief push toward 17 °C. Historical May averages near 18 °C provide little additional guidance at this short range, leaving resolution dependent on the final 48-hour model runs and observed conditions at Paris-Le Bourget.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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